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Market Bites - August 2025

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Plate of roast pork with garnish, a drink with garnish, and cinnamon sticks on a table. Text: "Bidfood Market Bites AUGUST 2025."
Fresh insights, pricing updates, and seasonal supply trends to help you plan your menus with confidence.

Stay ahead of industry trends in the market with Bidfood's Market Bites, the latest updates across key product categories. From pricing pressure to seasonal shifts, here’s what you need to know to plan your menus with confidence. 


Slices of cooked beef garnished with rosemary on a dark surface. Text "Protein" on a pink background.

Beef

NZ Beef kill has hit the brakes for the season.

Seasonal maintenance, shutdowns and calf processing underway. Limited Beef production from the operational plants.

Export demand is huge and will remain so, but NZ supply is not there. Domestic supply simply isn't meeting demand.

Pricing does seem to have stabilised for now. Will be time to start relying on our Australian beef and frozen NZ product.

 

Lamb

Global Lamb Price Index shows that global sheep meat demand has improved close to record levels.

Prices are firm and seem to have taken a breather for August.

 

Other notes

NZ Meat Board figures show the country’s lamb kill is behind 10% for the current season, with beef behind 6%.

It looks like we are at the start of the journey as global pricing appears sustainable.

Need to remember there is also a global red meat shortage.


Pork:

Prices are stable from Europe, while in America, prices are starting to rise due to increased summer demand.


Chicken:

Remains a reliable and affordable protein, with strong and stable supply and no major disruptions forecasted. 


Salmon fillets, lemon slices, and red berries on blue background. The word "Seafood" is on the left. Light and fresh mood.
 

NZ Fresh Salmon: Supply remains tight, with improvement expected by October 2025


Hoki / Blue Grenadier: Vessels now fishing in NZ & Australia - new season catch available early September 2025 



Green banner with "Fresh Produce" text in white on the left and close-up of leafy greens on the right. Mood is fresh and vibrant.

Passionfruit: Supply inconsistent due to wet, cold weather 

Tamarillo: Good supply 

Strawberries: Australian fruit improving, becoming more consistent 

Jerusalem Artichoke: Recovering well - after weather bad weather effects 

Brussels Sprouts: Great winter supply and quality 

Green Beans: Now Australian imported

Green Cabbage: Potential price rises due to weather 

Melons: Supply likely inconsistent for a few more weeks 

NZ Navel Oranges: Good supply 

Mandarins: Australian season well underway 

Grapes: Red, green and black are all available and imported from the US 

Witloof (red & yellow): Excellent quality and supply 

Mesclun, Rocket and Baby Spinach: Due to wet weather are in short supply


Text reads "Dairy | Cheese & Butter" on a light yellow background with a buttery texture on the right side.

The dairy market remains volatile, with Fonterra holding its record-high milk price forecast of $10 per kgMS. 

Key factors include: 

  • Unstable NZ/USD exchange rates 

  • Strong European pricing 

  • Tight US supply with high demand 

Good news: NZ suppliers are holding prices for cheese and butter this quarter, with potential cost relief in September as new-season milk comes online. 


Golden liquid pouring with text "Edible Oils" on a yellow background, creating a smooth, flowing, and glossy visual effect.

Canola Oil: Prices are rising due to poor crops in Europe and Ukraine, though demand remains soft, making the market unstable. 

Soybean, Palm & Rapeseed Oils: Prices are falling, driven by low demand, rising stocks, and global competition. 

Olive Oil: Prices are on the rise again, especially in Spain, due to: 

  • Strong demand and mixed crop quality 

  • Spanish production is up, but quality varies 

  • Italian production is down 50% due to drought - limited high-quality and organic supply is driving prices up 

Vegetable Oils: Still ~20% higher than last year, despite some recent easing 


Text "Nuts, Pulses & Other Commodities" on a brown background with mixed nuts visible on the right, creating a rustic, earthy mood.

Brazil Nuts: Yields are expected to be up to 60% lower than 2024 due to limited wild harvests - creating a severe shortage. 

Apricots & Hazelnuts: Frost events in April wiped out crops, resulting in major pricing impacts. 

Chickpeas: Supply is limited due to Ascochyta blight affecting food-grade crops. 

Milk Powder: Prices are increasing, driven by GDT auction activity. 

Yeast: Up +14.3%, with growing demand from the health and fertiliser sectors. 

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